Okay sports fans, I’m back with another blog. A brief word on Sergio Garcia who cost me my Ashes winnings by blowing a two shot lead on the back nine last Sunday in Greensboro, North Carolina. Sergio, you club-swallowing choke artist. You have the mental toughness of a piece of piece of chalk, or one of Damien Duff’s legs which I also believe to be made of chalk. If there were pictures on scorecards, Sergio would win every week. Unfortunately for me and I suppose Sergio too, it’s a numbers game and you my friend are on course to win as many majors as Colin Montgomerie.
Rant over, we’ll turn to a brief recap on last week’s tips. I hope some of you got some of that 7/2 Ashes action on England that I predicted. Also, it’s very early days, but my tip for Michael Chopra to be Championship top scorer and Cardiff to be promoted on the eve of the new season looks to be an inspired call. Cardiff are away to Doncaster who have started slowly this weekend. Cardiff are 5/4 to win. I’m going for a Championship treble this weekend. I’m backing Cardiff and Newcastle who are home to Leicester to continue their good form and I’m throwing in Roy’s Ipswich to bank their first win of the season.
Prediction: Treble on Newcastle, Cardiff and Ipswich to all win.
That should give you a return of just over 90 euro for a 10 euro stake. Not bad value at all I’d say.
The last Premiership action before the two week international break kicks off this weekend. Nobody wants to go into the break having to stew on a defeat. Well God help you millionaire footballers having to stew on a defeat. Spare a thought for the rest of us as we pick up our dole and have to sit through the turgid rubbish that is international football nowadays. Anyone who has to watch Robbie Keane do stepovers to nobody and flail his arms about in the air for 90 minutes deserves a sainthood. At least he turns up though – I’m looking in your direction, Stephen Ireland! But we’ll have more on that in next week’s blog. I’m going to take a slightly different approach this week. I’ll lay out my predictions and then pick out a few bets where I see good value.
Saturday, 29 August 2009
Blackburn v West Ham – Prediction: Draw 0-0
Bolton v Liverpool – Prediction: Liverpool win 0-2
Chelsea v Burnley – Prediction: Chelsea win 3-1
Man Utd v Arsenal – Prediction: Arsenal win 0-1
Stoke v Sunderland – Prediction: Draw 1-1
Tottenham v Birmingham – Prediction: Spurs win 1-0
Wolverhampton v Hull – Prediction: Wolves win 1-0
Sunday, 30 August 2009
Aston Villa v Fulham – Prediction: Villa win 2-0
Everton v Wigan – Prediction: Everton win 1-0
Portsmouth v Man City – Prediction: Portsmouth win 1-0
Portsmouth win 5/1: Okay, I know what you are thinking: Portsmouth to beat City, surely not? It’s a long(ish) shot, but Paddy Power are offering 5/1 on the Pompey win. That’s great value in the Premiership for a team who are not playing one of the ‘Big Four’. City have started pretty well but have hardly looked devastating. They may well break into the top four this season, but Portsmouth are desperate for points and will have a passionate Fratton Park crowd behind them. Well worth a fiver at 5/1!
Arsenal win 13/5: Arsenal are playing great stuff and look like they might pass Man United into submission this Saturday evening. When Arsenal are in this form they are hard to beat. Fabregas should be back and Rio is missing again for United. Arsenal have also had those two games against Celtic in the Champions League which might make them just that little bit sharper than United. These games are close to call and usually decided by a single goal. Arsenal to win 1-0 at 17/2 looks very tempting…
Treble: Liverpool 4/7, Everton 8/11 and Aston Villa 8/11 to all win. (About 46 euro back for a 10 euro stake) My beloved Liverpool blew my five match accumulator last week, with the other 4 teams I tipped all winning. Typical Liverpool, always letting me down. Well they simply have to win this weekend, and away to Bolton I believe they will. The Bolton fans are already baying for Megson’s blood after an embarrassing 1-0 defeat to hapless Hull last week. So I’m going for Liverpool to win as part of a treble including their recent conquerors Aston Villa as well as Merseyside neighbours Everton. Villa will look to capitalise on their terrific win at Anfield on Monday night and Fulham at Villa Park doesn’t look to be a huge ask. Everton are a different kettle of fish. The Lescott affair has badly hampered them. Now that he is gone Moyes will want to get the season back on track against a Wigan team who are reeling after a 5-0 defeat to Man United.
Lastly, if you are tempted by the 20/1 odds being offered on Burnley to beat Chelsea…don’t be!
Stay tuned to the blog in the coming weeks. I’ll be offering tips on the American football season which kicks off in September. I’ll also focus attention on the MLB baseball season as we head towards the playoffs, as well as much much more.